Monday, January 22, 2007
"Let's not start ... ," Hillary
Senator Hillary Clinton stands a good chance of being elected president in 2008, a Washington Post poll found:
Clinton beats former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani 49 percent to 47 percent in the Post's poll; she bests U.S. Senator John McCain 50-45. Giuliani and McCain are widely regarded as the two Republican frontrunners.
The 2008 presidential campaign right now is nothing more than a popularity contest. Thus, I was a little bit suspicious when I saw Clinton ahead of Giuliani. Hillary's more popular than America's Mayor? "Come on," I says to myself.
Well, leave it to Rich Galen to tell us the truth about the Washington Post's "scientific" poll. As Galen points out, the Post's numbers "are suspect because the poll had party ID (including leaners) at 56 percent Democrat, 34 percent Republican and 7 percent Independents."
I'm not surprised that Hillary Clinton gets 50 percent in a poll in which Democrats make up more than half the sample. What I do find surprising, however, is that such a poll is considered - by anyone - to be "scientific" or reprsentative of the voting public as a whole.
I certainly hope the Clinton campaign isn't getting too exited about the outcome of the Post's poll. There's a long time to go between now and November 2008. That's a lot of time during which the American people get to hear Clinton in all her shrill, shrieking glory. To borrow a line from Pulp Fiction, the Clinton team shouldn't start [doing dirty things to each other to celebrate] just yet.
Clinton beats former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani 49 percent to 47 percent in the Post's poll; she bests U.S. Senator John McCain 50-45. Giuliani and McCain are widely regarded as the two Republican frontrunners.
The 2008 presidential campaign right now is nothing more than a popularity contest. Thus, I was a little bit suspicious when I saw Clinton ahead of Giuliani. Hillary's more popular than America's Mayor? "Come on," I says to myself.
Well, leave it to Rich Galen to tell us the truth about the Washington Post's "scientific" poll. As Galen points out, the Post's numbers "are suspect because the poll had party ID (including leaners) at 56 percent Democrat, 34 percent Republican and 7 percent Independents."
I'm not surprised that Hillary Clinton gets 50 percent in a poll in which Democrats make up more than half the sample. What I do find surprising, however, is that such a poll is considered - by anyone - to be "scientific" or reprsentative of the voting public as a whole.
I certainly hope the Clinton campaign isn't getting too exited about the outcome of the Post's poll. There's a long time to go between now and November 2008. That's a lot of time during which the American people get to hear Clinton in all her shrill, shrieking glory. To borrow a line from Pulp Fiction, the Clinton team shouldn't start [doing dirty things to each other to celebrate] just yet.
# posted by Joltin' Django @ Monday, January 22, 2007 
